| These REITS Are Investment Timber (RealMoney by TheStreet.com) |
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| Thursday, 04 March 2010 13:00 |
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I believe that many investors would be well served to add exposure to timber and timber-related products to their portfolios, given the historically low correlations this asset class has with more mainstream investments, among other reasons. Timber as an asset class has also outperformed the One of the interesting ways to gain exposure to timber is through publicly traded companies that utilize the REIT structure. That means, among other things, that they have to pay out at least 90% of taxable income to shareholders. This not only creates some interesting income generating opportunities, it gives shareholders exposure to what I consider to be a renewable resource, albeit very slowly renewable. The timber REITs also own vast amounts of land, and this presents the potential to sell off properties that potentially have a higher and better use than for timber. Plum Creek Timber I last wrote about Plum Creek back in June, after a Barron’s article suggested that PCL shares were severely overpriced and worth just $10 to $15. This helped to send the stock from the mid-$35 range to around $28 in fairly short order, but since then shares have risen back to the $36 range. Plum Creek currently yields a very solid 4.7%. Shares don’t exactly appear to be cheap at 25 times trailing earnings and 26 times 2010 consensus estimates, but Plum Creek has historically traded at a higher multiple, averaging about Rayonier, the seventh-largest owner of private timber land in the U.S., owns about 1.9 million acres, or about 2,970 square miles, in nine states and New Zealand, and leases an additional 600,000 acres. The company’s primary business, Performance Fibers, which manufactures cellulose specialties that are used in packaging, plastics, yarn, cosmetics, food products and cigarette filters, to name a few products, generated more than 71% of last year’s $1.17 billion in revenue. Unlike Plum Creek, Rayonier generates just a fraction of its revenue from actual timber sales — 13.6% in 2009. Like Plum Creek, Rayonier also has a real estate business that at last count held about 100,000 acres with potentially higher and better use. Shares have been on a tear since last March and have nearly doubled since then. Rayonier currently trades at about 29 times trailing earnings (excluding special items) and One of my favorite calculations that I use with companies that have vast land holdings is enterprise value to owned acres. In Plum Creek’s case, this works out to about $1,191 per acre; in Rayonier’s case, $2,120. This certainly does not mean that one is better than the other; land comes in many different levels of quality, and this just helps to give me some perspective about how the market is currently valuing a given company, solely on the basis of acreage. In terms of correlations, both Rayonier and Plum Creek show just moderate correlations to Independent market research, commentary, analysis and news. Learn more. Read the original: |
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